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April 2000
Research Focus
Financing New Urbanism Projects: Obstacles and Solutions
Professor Joseph Gyourko and Witold Rybczynski
An analysis of survey results of interviews with twenty-three industry
practitioners from the development and finance fields yields a number
of important results regarding the financing of New Urbanist projects.
First, these projects are perceived as more risky than the typical
real estate project. The mixed use nature of the projects provides the
foundation for that perception. Development of mixed uses is viewed as
inherently more difficult to evaluate and to do well in practice. There
is an added risk premium attached to mixed use projects that are New
Urbanist in nature, but the perceived risk can vary substantially by
the type of project. For urban in-fill projects where there is little
doubt about the willingness to accept higher densities, the additional
perceived risk of New Urbanism is low. For suburban projects where
there is no consensus about the desire for greater density, the added
risk premium is much larger. The investor and lender community is most
hostile to greenfield, New Urbanist developments. Many believe the
up-front infrastructure costs are so high and the difficulty of making
retail work in such environments are so problematic that they will not
finance such deals.
The relatively high perceived risk for most New Urbanist projects
imposes relatively high required rates of return on them. This, in turn,
requires the projects to generate cash flows quickly in order for them
to be financially attractive to investors. Financiers consequently favor
larger, more experienced developers for mixed use projects in general and
New Urbanist ones in particular, as careful phasing of development is
necessary on larger projects especially. This implies that smaller New
Urbanist developers should focus on smaller, less complex projects with a
dominant property type.
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