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Spring 2002 Issue
Real Estate Private Equity Funds
Peter Linneman, Stanley Ross
Created in the late 1980s to meet a pressing need for real estate equity capital, these funds
have raised more than $100 billion in equity from pension funds and other investors,
invested in every form of income-producing property and equity and debt as well as com-panies
in homebuilding, construction and development, real estate technology and other
specialties, and expanded into global markets. Now funds and their sponsors are under
pressure from investors and their consultants to provide greater transparency and standard-ization
in reporting information and to meet yet-to-be-defined performance standards.
Defaults in Securitized Real Estate Loans
Georgette C. Poindexter
The commercial mortgage-backed securities market has changed the legal structure of
commercial real estate finance in the United States. By transforming the market from
whole loan participation to participation based on subordinated securities, the economic
and legal goals and limitations in the event of borrower default are likewise transformed.
Not only have the holders of real estate debt changed, but the documents underlying the
transaction have also evolved. This article analyzes how these changes may affect the rights
and obligations of the parties in the event of a real estate downturn. The new structure
uncouples traditional debt-oriented rights from risk of investment loss. Several methods
to minimize such a disjunction are suggested.
Opportunistic Investing and Real Estate Private Equity Funds
Dale Ann Reiss, Deborah Levinson, Sanford Presant
Opportunistic real estate private equity funds, also known as "value-added" funds and
"opportunity" funds, are increasingly popular. This paper discusses the results of an Ernst
& Young survey of 48 funds representing $72.3 billion of equity, raised in 145 separate
funds, between 1988 and 2001. The survey revealed that a relatively small percentage of
general partners control a large percentage of the capital. The majority of the larger fund
general partners are real estate investing arms of larger private equity groups, whether the
merchant banking arms of investment banks or stand-alone private equity firms. The sur-vey
demonstrates current industry attitudes towards financial and performance reporting,
tax issues, income allocations and distributions, and business transformation issues.
General partners are facing increased pressure to standardize performance reporting, cre-ate
greater transparency in financial reporting, and develop consistent valuation method-ologies
for investments.
Real Estate: Past, Present, and Future
Samuel Zell
Sam Zell reflects on the continuing evolution of the real estate industry, of which he is an
icon. He describes the arbitrage potential of an average 6 percent interest rate relative to
an inflation rate of 9 percent, the birth of opportunity funds, the development of the con-cept
of the "real estate elitist," and the existence of a market - composed of relatively
small players who could borrow money because they had connections with local banks -
transformed to an industry offering an astonishing opportunity for marketing. He pre-dicts
that the CEOs of the industry leaders of the future will be much more operations-oriented
and may have no real estate experience.
Why Does Anybody Still Live Here?
Joseph Gyourko
Most of America’s largest cities in 1950 declined in population in the intervening period.
In 1990, nearly 60 percent of all owner-occupied single-unit residences in Midwest cen-tral
cities were valued at less than the cost of construction. Nevertheless, these declining
cities appear to persist because of the durability of housing. We present a durable housing
model that explains a number of facts about urban dynamics. Housing durability explains
why city growth rates are skewed, and why cities grow more quickly than they decline.
Housing durability can explain the striking persistence of city growth rates among declin-ing
cities. Housing durability explains why positive shocks to cities appear to increase pop-ulation
more than prices and why negative shocks appear to reduce price more than pop-ulation.
Finally, and most important, durable housing may explain why declining cities
appear to attract individuals with low levels of human capital.
The Crash and Rebound of Canary Wharf
David L. A. Gordon
After its 1992 bankruptcy, Canary Wharf was politically controversial and widely regard-ed
as a planning and development disaster. It failed as a result of six factors: a recession in
the London property market; competition from the City of London; poor transport links;
few British tenants; complicated finances; and developer overconfidence. Canary Wharf ’s
original developer assembled a new consortium and took the project out of bankruptcy in
1995. Improved performance on the six factors led to a successful IPO in 1999. Ten pre-leased
office buildings are under construction in 2002, which should complete the origi-nal
project. Canary Wharf ’s 14 million square feet will be an impressive rebound from a
spectacular crash. The project is now the central business district of the London
Docklands and the third office node of Greater London.
The Activities and Benefits of Smart Growth
Rober W. Burchell, Anthony Downs, Catherine C. Galley, David Listokin
Smart growth is characterized by five main activities: control of outward movement; inner-area
revitalization and growth in more central places; design innovations; land and natu-ral
resource preservation; and transportation reorientation. Compared with traditional
sprawl development, smart growth shows significant public- and private-sector cost advan-tages
over a 25-year period. Nevertheless, its implementation remains a main challenge
because suburbs and cities alike lack both an agenda and strategies to invoke smart growth.
Various responses to foster smart growth are proposed to support and complement current
efforts.
Measuring Sprawl
Witold Rybczynski
The simplest measure of how much a metropolitan area sprawls is its population density -
that is, the number of inhabitants per square mile. However, this can be misleading since
metropolitan areas include land that has not been developed and may, in fact, not be
developable, such as steep slopes, nature preserves, or land banks. This paper discusses dif-ferent
measures of density, including urbanized density, centralization of employment, and
densification of metropolitan areas over time. It suggests that many popular preconcep-tions
about sprawl are inaccurate - that is, Western and Southern metropolitan areas do
not necessarily sprawl more than areas in the Northeast. Indeed, Los Angeles and Phoenix
actually have higher population densities than older metro areas such as Chicago and
Boston, and older metropolitan areas in the Northeast are not necessarily denser than
newer areas. Philadelphia and Detroit rank as extreme examples of low-density develop-ment
according to several measures.
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