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Fall Members' Meeting · Friday, October 21, 2016

Philip E. Tetlock

Leonore Annenberg University Professor in Democracy and Citizenship, Professor of Psychology and Management, University of Pennsylvania

Philip E. Tetlock holds the Annenberg University Professor chair at the University of Pennsylvania, with cross-appointments in Wharton and the School of Arts and Sciences. His work crosses traditional disciplinary boundaries and addresses topics as diverse as cognitive biases, accountability systems, value conflict, and taboo trade offs.

Philip has received awards from many scientific societies, including the American Psychological Association, the American Political Science Association, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the National Academy of Sciences, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science. His most recent work focuses on forecasting tournaments and their potential to improve accuracy and to depolarize unnecessarily polarized debates.

Philip is the author of Superforecasting, which tells the story of how his research group, the Good Judgment Project, won a series of forecasting tournaments sponsored and monitored by the U.S. intelligence community. Other works by Philip E. Tetlock include, Expert Political Judgement: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? and Unmaking the West: What-if Scenarios That Rewrite World History.

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