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Working Papers

A Disconnect in Real Estate Pricing?

Working paper #467
Peter Linneman

Real estate fundamentals have weakened, even as property pricing has soared. Is this a disconnect in rational pricing? Upon close examination it becomes clear that the pricing movement is completely in line with theoretical expectations. Today’s cap rates are driven by low long-term risk-free rates, and improved by long-term NOI prospects and increased connectivity with global capital markets.

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