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The Vulnerability of Minority Homeowners in the Housing Boom and Bust

Working paper #751
Patrick Bayer, Fernando Vendramel Ferreira and Stephen L. Ross

This paper examines mortgage outcomes for a large, representative sample of individual home purchases and refinances linked to credit scores in seven major U.S. markets in the recent housing boom and bust. Among those with similar credit scores, black and Hispanic homeowners had much higher rates of delinquency and default in the downturn. These differences are not readily explained by the likelihood of receiving a subprime loan or by differential exposure to local shocks in the housing and labor market and are especially pronounced for loans originated near the peak of the boom. Our findings suggest that those black and Hispanic homeowners drawn into the market near the peak were especially vulnerable to adverse economic shocks and raise serious concerns.

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